Wednesday, August 19, 2020

Auckland News

I'm mostly posting these because the American legacy media seems to be awfully short on ... actual human reporters ... to cover news.

Auckland still has a problem: 6 new cases today.

They now have 5 hospitalizations from this outbreak.

They still have zero idea of the source. Do note that New Zealand quarantines everyone that comes into the country, and does have some cases that way. But the new outbreak popped up in the community with no connection to anywhere. Check out this chart:


The sense in which New Zealand had been doing well is the big gap between red spikes.

Please note that you need to be really careful with this chart because it is stacked. The most recent red spike looks like it's hit the 12-14 range in new daily cases. To compare this appropriately to the big spike in March, you need to get the number for the top of the red peak, say 76, and subtract out the blue peak on the same day, say 52, to get the number of red cases, which looks like it's about 24. So the current outbreak is about half as bad as what they were getting in March. That's not horrible, but it's comparable to the U.S. getting a fairly big spike this summer.

Also, for Utah students, note that Auckland has a population about 7 times that of southwestern Utah. And the whole country of New Zealand is losing their f***ing minds over a dozen new cases a day, when southwestern Utah, with one seventh the population, has beaten that every day for about 3 months.

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