Sunday, December 12, 2010

Another Unemployment Rate by County Video

Three years of county by county unemployment:

Unemployment 2007-2010

The impression is not like some monolithic discrete change as presented in the legacy media, but more like a piece of fruit going bad on the table … it starts with a little brown spot or two that slowly takes over.

Saturday, December 11, 2010

The Uneven Recovery

Recessions and expansions are always uneven, so this shouldn’t be a surprise.

And, keep in mind that this is just showing above and below average, so every metropolitan area has to be either yellow or red.

But, how many people do you know from yellow areas that are complaining about the recession (that officially ended 15 months ago), or the weak job market?

Saturday, November 27, 2010

Colonial Institutions Might Have Been Worse that We Thought

It’s a 30 year old position in economics: former British colonies have done better because British colonial institutions were better than those of other imperialists.

Except that there’s new evidence from India.

India has areas that were under direct British rule, and areas that were … hmmm … paying tribute to avoid direct British rule.

The areas of India that were directly ruled by Britain have turned out worse.

Wednesday, November 17, 2010

Trade Imbalance Nonsense

John Cochrane is talking about Treasury Secretary Geithner at the G-20 meetings in fall 2010, but he may as well be talking about just about any government official:

Yet Mr. Geithner thinks that the Chinese somehow hurt us. There is at work here a strange marriage of Keynesianism and mercantilism—the view that U.S. consumers supported the world economy by spending beyond our means, so that other people could have the pleasure of sending things in exchange for pieces of paper.

This is all as fuzzy as it seems. Markets and exchange rates are not always right. But it is a pipe dream that busybodies at the IMF can find "imbalances," properly diagnose "overvalued" exchange rates, then "coordinate" structural, fiscal and exchange rate policies to "facilitate an orderly rebalancing of global demand," especially using "medium-term targets" rather than concrete actions. The German economics minister, Rainer BrĂ¼derle, called this "planned economy thinking." He was being generous. Planners have a clearer idea of what they are doing.

Via Greg Mankiw.

Tuesday, November 16, 2010

Lies, Damned Lies, and Statistics from the Obama Administration

Keith Hennesey deconstructs Austan Goolsbee’s defense of Obama’s economic performance:

Austan Goolsbee deconstructed

If You’re So Smart, You Fix It

A game you get to play where you choose the policies to cut the deficit, from The New York Times.

Good luck … you’ll need it.

Via Greg Mankiw.

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QE2

It’s not as bad as portrayed here, but if you can’t figure out why people object to textbook monetary policy, view this:

If the video isn’t showing up, click here.