Wednesday, July 22, 2020

A Bad Sign with Local Cases

Six days a week the Southwest Utah Public Health Department publishes information on local cases. This always gives a breakdown by county.

For 8 days now, they have been unable to clear out a backlog. This shows people who've tested positive, but whose county has not yet been designated.

This points to a mismatch between people testing positive and people keeping track of those who test positive.

In some sense, this is not surprising: tests run has doubled over a little more than a month, and positive test results have doubled over a little less than a month. Yes, more people will be needed to process that information. Having said that, it's not like this growth isn't steady and predictable.

Something's up. Occam's razor suggests this is an early sign the epidemic is getting out of hand in the local region.

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