Tuesday, September 29, 2020

Why Did Utah Gerrymander the U Campus for Its COVID-19 Dashboard?

Utah is now making public finer data on COVID-19. That's good. 

But, if you tunnel down, the area reporting statistics for the U is split up. 

The campus itself, and a lot of off-campus housing falls in the region called "Salt Lake City (Downtown)". From the northwest corner where I-15 flies over W. Temple, this goes south along the interstate to 1300 S, then east to Liberty Park (but going north and east around the park) then east to include East High School, wiggling northwards to include those nice neighborhoods behind the cemeteries where people street park for football games, then east up 500 South to Wakara Way, then hooking around the entire campus to come back along South Temple. This completely excludes the Avenues, where many faculty, staff, and some students live. It also excludes the research park southeast of campus, and some neighborhoods with some students a bit further from campus on the other side.

It's pretty tough to see this map well, since the whole region is coded red due to high incidence over the last two weeks.

The U is included in the white bordered region in the middle (the dark lines appear to be train tracks).

The incidence in that area currently is 652 per 100K. That's roughly twice as high as the 4 regions bordering from the northwest to the south-southeast sides. And it's roughly comparable to the South Salt Lake and Glendale regions bordering to the southwest. 

Now ... listen up. The scale at the bottom right is roughly doubling at each step, until you get to the top. The upper bounds go 50, 100, 200, and then presumably should go to 400 and then 800. There needs to be at least one more color because those 3 bad regions would be in it, and possibly two because they'd be pushing the border of the next one. 

AND ... there's no decent way to figure out whether the U is doing worse or better. I'm not asking for much, but it seems to me it would make sense to have a cutoff somewhere between 900 East and 1100 East to isolate and get data on the U's stakeholders.

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You can download a lot of data on this now (look for the link at the end of the first paragraph on this page). Even so, I am seeing in that overall case counts for these regions, and last 14 day case rates for counties, but I am not seeing last 14-day case rates for these finer regions. They clearly exist somewhere, but they aren't public yet.



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