The earthquake in Turkey now seems considerably worse than it did on Monday. I have heard reports that some are calling it the worst quake in the region in 2,000 years.
The pattern I outlined the other day continues to hold. Excepting the 2004 earthquake caused tsunami, all the countries above Turkey on the list of deadliest quakes are poorer than Turkey. And right behind in the casualty list is richer Japan which suffered from a bigger quake.
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There are also very sketchy reports of high casualties over the border in Syria.
The problem with this is that we may never get a solid death toll from Syria. Syria on a map is not the same thing as what is controlled by the Syrian government, since rebel groups hold large parts of the country.Neither one is likely to have the organizational ability to accurately count deaths.
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