Friday, June 5, 2020

The Bad Antibody News

I wrote last week that my entire family had tested negative for antibodies to SARS-CoV-2.

I'd also indicated in class when we were still face-to-face that my wife suspected she had had it in January. Her symptoms were a bad viral infection that had progressed into walking pneumonia. The suspicion I voiced at the time was that, although it would be fortuitous to be done with the disease, the absence of widespread illnesses in February and early March did not seem right for the virus to be in Cedar from January. Suspicion confirmed.

Anyway, we got our test as a result of the study done by Red River Health and Wellness. They released their report this week (although I can't find a downloadable version). But, the news coverage is common in Salt Lake (try here).

One of the things they found was that the virus entered the state through Logan (!!!) in mid-February. This was a month before the first case of community transmission (a bartender in Park City) was detected. Keep in mind that community transmission means either 1) that it can't be traced to someone who traveled from an area with an outbreak, or 2) to someone local known to be infected. And Cache County didn't even have its first positive test results until March 18th, with Iron County following 5 days after that (Washington County is a bit sketchier because they had that cruise ship passenger that returned to there, but they got their second case 3 days after Cache and 2 days before Iron).

The picture this paints is that when Utahns were most worried about the virus in late March ... it was barely beginning to spread.

And now that we are getting more cases, we're less worried.

WTF?

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Iron County had a good day today with just 5 cases. Washington had an average day with 25 new ones.

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