Tuesday, February 25, 2020

The Gambler’s Fallacy: This Is Going to Come Up In Lectures About Forecasting Soon, So It Is Required Even If There’s No Macro In the Article

Short and readable article about the “gambler’s fallacy”.

This will come up in a few weeks in discussions about how to interpret real GDP data if it contains a unit root (other similar ideas are “integrated”, and “random walk”).

No comments:

Post a Comment