Wednesday, June 17, 2020

Rumors

I was going to write something speculative about this the other day.

The uptick in cases in Iron County led to the lowest days-to-double-cases (7), between June 4th and June 6th. This is 14-16 days after local high school graduation ceremonies. It seems plausible that these events are related. Particularly since days-to-double-cases was at 32 three days after graduation before declining ten of the next eleven days.

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However, I've now heard the following rumor from more than one source, and from unrelated sources as well.

In generalities: several high school students who participated in a camping party related to the end of the school year later tested positive, and there was some further transmission within their households.

This would also corroborate why the proportion of people wearing masks at Walmart got very about 2-3 weeks ago, and has since slacked off.

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