Saturday, March 21, 2020

Hospital Bed Dashboard

Remember what I said back in early January: that macroeconomics is about geographic correlation?

You may have need for the U.S. Hospital Beds Dashboard. It's interactive; you need to click through and play with it.

It allows you to drill down from the country, to the state, then county, then individual hospital level to see the number of beds, the number of staffed beds, the number of ICU beds, utilization rates, and the capacity to increase number of beds.

Utah has 513 ICU beds. On average about 200 of them are occupied. Given Italy's 10% rate of ICU cases per total cases, Utah will be in trouble when we start getting above 3K positive test results. Given that the outbreak doubles every 6 days, and we have 136 positives right now, that's less than 30 days out.

But, there is the caveat that we won't get all of those people in ICU beds all at once, so that estimate will get stretched a bit.

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